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  • A Rainbow of Opportunities
    A Rainbow of Opportunities Short descriptions of the various articles in the June issue. Predictive ... “Using Predictive Modeling to Risk- Adjust Primary Care Panel Sizes” by Anders Larson: Anders describes ...

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    • Authors: David Snell, Kevin Jones
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Complexity or Simplicity?
    be ideal for a situation where: 1. You have no direct algorithm for an exact solution (or an exact solution ... our workshop. Say you want to manage a health care provider system to reduce costs and still provide ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: The Actuary Magazine
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods
  • Complexity Sciences—the Tools for Tomorrow … and Even Today!
    easier to recognize than to define.1 Why should you care about this? Some of you are already an FSA or FCAS ... for any more knowledge is over, right? You should care because according to Stephen Hawking, “Complexity ...
    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development
    • Publication Name: General Insurance Insights
    • Topics: General Insurance (Property & Casualty)>Pricing/ratemaking - General Insurance; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Session 75 Lecture: Behavioral Economics: Making Improvements in Health Insurance
    I have chosen, XYZ Medical Group will provide my care. • Including a norms statement such as ‘Many people ... the XYZ healthcare system ensures consistency of care.’ Yes In the event that I require physical therapy ...

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    • Authors: David Snell, Laural Warren
    • Date: Jun 2016
    • Competency: Communication
  • Standing Room Only! Complexity Grows at Annual Meeting
    presentation on “Modeling Complex Systems in Health Care.” He talked about the strengths and weaknesses ... serious games—to solve actuarial problems in health care. Obviously, this year saw a turning point in actuarial ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Finance & Investments>Asset liability management; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • “To Be, or Not To Be” … an Actuary
    several different medications per day1 —some primary meds to combat specific ailments or illnesses, ... others to combat the harmful side effects of the primary (or secondary) meds. Now, we are on the verge ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Aug 2018
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Professional Values>Practice expertise; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Actuarial Profession>Professional development
  • Embrace the Future - But Beware the Smug
    Long Term Care (LTC) Section study in “Land This Plane—A Delphi Study about Long-Term Care in the United ... America ought to deal with the impending long-term care crisis.” Our second Delphi article is a reprint ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • I held a human brain!
    I held a human brain! Alternative sources of learning available for free or at low cost ... Actuaries is much more condensed, and focuses on more-direct applications to health insurance claims and cost ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Professional development
  • Insights from a Dead Salmon
    Insights from a Dead Salmon Actuaries provide special subject matter expertise to question (or ... good way. Yes, you put in a lot of time without direct compensation; but the result is highly rewarding ...

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    • Authors: David Snell, Kevin Jones
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Professional Values>Ethical standards; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Predictive Analytics
  • New Tools and Techniques for Actuaries Living in a Complex World
    New Tools and Techniques for Actuaries Living in a Complex World The author provides ... interrelationships between variables are too complex for a direct theo- retical approach and the number of possible ...

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    • Authors: David Snell
    • Date: May 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuary of the Future
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models